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A no-rules boxing match: Samy Chaar on competing in a fragmented world economy

A no-rules boxing match: Samy Chaar on competing in a fragmented world economy

key takeaways.

  • The world has shifted from a global, interconnected order to a fragmented one divided into competing blocs – and there is no going back
  • The US-China confrontation is the defining conflict of our era: a multi-decade, no-rules contest for economic, technological, and strategic dominance
  • Fragmentation is driving a powerful investment cycle – economic security requires significant capital expenditure, which generates demand, profits, and market returns
  • Technology is the central battlefield, with the US leading on compute power and China on adoption; trade, energy, and oil are the other key strategic arenas
  • Investors should focus on the business cycle fundamentals: the pace of productive investment, returns on capital, and employment trends remain healthy – the green light is still on.

The global order is shifting. Samy Chaar explores what economic fragmentation means for investors, from trade and technology to economic security.

Mapping the new world order

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A no-rules boxing match

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The strategic battlegrounds: trade, technology, and energy

Read also: Exploring ‘Silicon Valhalla’ – can AI be built in Europe?

Read also: Oil markets have a China question

The green light is still on

important information

This is a marketing communication issued by Bank Lombard Odier & Co Ltd (hereinafter “Lombard Odier”).
It is not intended for distribution, publication, or use in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, or use would be unlawful, nor is it aimed at any person or entity to whom it would be unlawful to address such a marketing communication.

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