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Beating the heat – and energy price shocks – with renewables

Beating the heat – and energy price shocks – with renewables

key takeaways.

  • Amidst volatile energy prices, electric vehicles, heat pumps, and home solar paired with battery storage offer a compelling route to resilience and energy security
  • As summers bring longer and hotter heatwaves, residential solar plus battery storage is an ideal combination for cooling homes cheaply and reliably 
  • This summer’s exceptional heat is leading to a spike in air conditioning adoption. Over the longer term, this threatens extra strain on grids and increased emissions
  • The regulatory environment is complex, and several policies have undermined residential electrification in recent years. However, the recent EU Electrification Action Plan suggests tailwinds around the corner
  • The electrification of the global economy continues apace. Rising temperatures and today’s energy price shocks are creating a further catalyst for the rollout of clean, economy-wide electrification.

Volatile energy prices and rising temperatures are strengthening the case for home solar, batteries, heat pumps and EVs. We look at what this means…

Rooftop solar – do the economics still work without the subsidies?

Read also: Sustainability is being made in China

Batteries – building energy resilience and beating the heat

Read also: 5 must-watch sustainable investing trends for 2026

Tariffs hit EVs – and why are heat pumps still losing out to gas boilers?

Policy tailwinds and a geopolitical catalyst

Read also: Defending the grid – renewables on the frontline as nations invest to build energy security

Investing in electrification

Common questions about home electrification

As governments reduce feed-in tariffs (FiTs – a fee-per-unit paid to homeowners for selling their home-generated electricity to the grid), the value of exporting surplus solar electricity falls, and the economic case shifts towards self-consumption. This is where batteries become key, cutting homeowners’ exposure to volatile electricity prices. A 2026 study of 730 households by the Berlin University of Applied Sciences found that homes combining rooftop solar, a heat pump, an electric vehicle, and battery storage self-generated 59% of their annual energy needs – a median of 19 percentage points more than homes with solar but no battery.

The lack of FiTs or subsidies for installation makes the economics more straightforward – the cost of installation versus the cost saved in avoided grid electricity over the life of the solar installation. In a world of geopolitical volatility and energy price shocks, this balance may tip in favour of home solar. For many homeowners, however, solar panels are more than a simple economic trade-off, they are a way to build a clean, reliable energy supply that will be unaffected by any future grid instability.

Yes. Reversible heat pumps – units that can run their refrigerant cycle in either direction – provide cooling in summer and heating in winter from a single system. This makes them a direct alternative to installing separate air conditioning and pairs naturally with rooftop solar and home batteries, since peak solar generation usually takes place just a few hours before peak need.

Because of how electricity is taxed – not because of the technology. In some European countries electricity costs the consumer up to four times more than gas, largely because policy-related levies are loaded onto electricity bills. According to energy think tank Ember, this pricing gap can cancel out the efficiency advantage a heat pump holds over a gas boiler across its lifetime. In the EU, this electricity-gas imbalance may soon be addressed by the Electrification Action Plan.

The Electrification Action Plan is a European Commission initiative aimed at accelerating the shift from fossil fuels to electricity across the EU economy. A leaked draft indicates it will target the electricity-to-gas price imbalance, aim to double annual heat pump installations, and create a framework for cutting VAT on home batteries and electric vehicles.

Geopolitical shocks that impact energy flows – such as the Iran war – have a dual impact. In the immediate term, they push up the price of oil and gas – consumers feel the cost at the petrol pump and in their home energy bills. They are also a longer-term reminder of the fragility of global energy supply chains.

For governments that don’t have their own secure supply of oil and gas, renewables and electrification offer national energy security and a predictable energy cost. On a smaller scale, the calculation is similar for homeowners, for whom home electricity production, and the electrification of heating and transport, means less exposure to volatile energy prices and potentially fragile national grids. In short, anything that restricts fossil fuel energy flows is likely to accelerate the transition to renewables.

view sources.
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1 Peak heat in Europe just broke historic 1970s records | UN News; Germany news: New heat record at 41.7 degrees Celsius

2 El Niño forecast to intensify, increasing likelihood of extreme weather | UN News

3 Super El Niño Could Make Deadly Europe Heat Waves Even Worse - Newsweek

4 How Europe's heatwave is driving demand for cooling technology - CGTN; European heat wave brings in cool cash for Asian air-conditioner makers as sales surge | CNN

5 Air conditioning causes around 3% of greenhouse gas emissions. How will this change in the future? | Our World in Data

6 Europe’s reliance on gas power could increase electricity bills by up to €120 a year | IEEFA

7 Evolution of fuel prices in May 2026 - News articles - Eurostat

8 Key findings: Renewable power generation costs in 2019

9 The hidden costs of cheap solar panels: Subsidies, imbalances and trade risks

10 Solar Charging of Electric Vehicles | HTW Berlin

11 Synergies between climate mitigation and adaptation: the role of photovoltaics in meeting cooling demand in Italy - IOPscience

12 Trends in electric cars – Global EV Outlook 2026 – Analysis - IEA; FOTW #1124, March 9, 2020: U.S. All-Electric Vehicle Sales Level Off in 2019 | Department of Energy

13 VW plans to cut up to 100,000 jobs and shut plants, report says | Volkswagen (VW) | The Guardian

14 Plugging heat in꞉ smart policy can help electrify household heating in Europe | Ember

15 Nine times faster: the EU wants to double electrification by 2040

16 Solar energy in buildings - European Commission

17 The Iran War Is Driving a Global Surge of Interest in Electric Vehicles

18 Energy crisis sees rise in heat pump sales - European Heat Pump Association

19 Solar power in the home? Quote requests spike during Iran oil crisis - Fast Company

20 China’s new energy plan leaves emissions loose – Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air

21 Electrification - European Commission

22  New report: EU installs 27.1 GWh of new batteries in 2025 as utility-scale storage drives record growth - SolarPower Europe; Household composition statistics - Statistics Explained - Eurostat; Electricity price statistics - Statistics Explained - Eurostat

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This is a marketing communication issued by Bank Lombard Odier & Co Ltd (hereinafter “Lombard Odier”).
It is not intended for distribution, publication, or use in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, or use would be unlawful, nor is it aimed at any person or entity to whom it would be unlawful to address such a marketing communication.

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